{"id":699,"date":"2024-07-23T13:43:40","date_gmt":"2024-07-23T17:43:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lineawealth.com\/?p=699"},"modified":"2024-07-23T13:46:58","modified_gmt":"2024-07-23T17:46:58","slug":"justins-market-musings-interesting-times-indeed-july-23-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/advisors1.bradcable.com\/lineaprivatewealthmanagement\/justins-market-musings-interesting-times-indeed-july-23-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Justin\u2019s Market Musings | Interesting Times Indeed | July 23, 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-701 alignleft lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/advisors1.bradcable.com\/lineaprivatewealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/142\/2024\/07\/165314085_m_normal_none-300x225.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 300px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 300\/225;\" \/>There\u2019s an old saying that goes something like \u201cMay you live in interesting times.\u201d If true, consider us all fortunate because the last few weeks have certainly been remarkable. Of course, we\u2019ve had the political happenings with both the attempted assassination of candidate Trump and Biden bowing out of the upcoming election. But, throw in the major technology disruption that we had last Friday (we were only mildly affected by the way) and the fact that the stock market has just continued to set new record highs, and we have had quite the potentially potent cocktail of events. If you\u2019d have told me back in January that all of these things had happened so far in 2024, I would have doubted that the market would be able to withstand it. Glad I wasn\u2019t given that opportunity!<\/p>\n<p>So, in my last blog back in May, I suggested that we should all ignore the old \u201csell in May and go away\u201d conventional wisdom (see blog here: https:\/\/lineawealth.com\/justins-market-musings-sell-in-may-may-01-2024). As luck would have it, that turned out to be the correct call, but even I must admit that the resilience of this market has really been surprising and impressive. Just goes to show that \u201ctime in the market\u201d is much more important than \u201ctiming the market.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>We did experience a little weakness at the Index level last week (worst week since April), which wasn\u2019t entirely unexpected \u2013 let\u2019s face it, the market has to cool off periodically \u2013 but conditions continue to support higher markets, certainly over the next 6-12 months. And, while you can probably bet on some volatility during the historically weak months of September and October, we are still pretty optimistic going forward. Of course, we\u2019ll continue to have normal corrections along the way, but that\u2019s just part of being a long-term investor.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, I have been getting a LOT of questions\/concerns about the upcoming election(s), so I wanted to address the topic at least briefly here. To be clear, any weakness we MAY see in September and October are a seasonality effect and won\u2019t necessarily be tied to election concerns (although that is always a possibility). As it relates to this November, at the moment, we can\u2019t even say for sure who is going to be running. So, I\u2019ll just avoid that topic for now. However, what we do know is that in reality, elections just don\u2019t have a significant impact on the direction of our asset markets. Our financial partners over at First Trust provided this fantastic information regarding markets during election years:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-702 size-full lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/advisors1.bradcable.com\/lineaprivatewealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/142\/2024\/07\/presidential-election-results.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"532\" height=\"442\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/advisors1.bradcable.com\/lineaprivatewealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/142\/2024\/07\/presidential-election-results.png 532w, https:\/\/advisors1.bradcable.com\/lineaprivatewealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/142\/2024\/07\/presidential-election-results-480x399.png 480w\" data-sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 532px, 100vw\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 532px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 532\/442;\" \/>Here&#8217;s the takeaway: Despite many investors citing \u201celection concerns\u201d as reasons to avoid\/delay buying stocks, the data shows that the market averages 11.58% return during election years and have been positive 83% of the time. Those figures are both ABOVE the historical averages and hardly anything to be overly concerned about. We\u2019ve included the entire piece from First Trust if you\u2019d like some additional stats\/perspective surrounding elections and their historical impact.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, surprises can happen at any time along the way. And, we\u2019d expect a normal amount of volatility between now and November, but we\u2019d use any pullbacks in asset prices as a great long-term opportunity. So, stick to your plan and keep investing, assuming your time horizon is long-term. Before you know it, we\u2019ll move on to talking about how important the 2026 Mid-terms are going to be (isn\u2019t it odd that EVERY election we\u2019ve had is the \u201cmost important\u201d one ever?)!<\/p>\n<p>Until next time\u2026enjoy your last month of summer!<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 13px\">Past performance is no guarantee of future results. For illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any actual investment. The S&amp;P 500 Index is an unmanaged index of 500 companies used to measure large-cap U.S. stock market performance. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Index returns do not reflect any fees, expenses, or sales charges. These returns were the result of certain market factors and events which may not be repeated in the future. The information presented is not intended to constitute an investment recommendation for, or advice to, any specific person. Tracking #606237<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There\u2019s an old saying that goes something like \u201cMay you live in interesting times.\u201d If true, consider us all fortunate because the last few weeks have certainly been remarkable. Of course, we\u2019ve had the political happenings with both the attempted assassination of candidate Trump and Biden bowing out of the upcoming election. But, throw in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":76,"featured_media":701,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","wds_primary_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-699","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Justin\u2019s Market Musings | Interesting Times Indeed | July 23, 2024 - Linea Private Wealth Management<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/advisors1.bradcable.com\/lineaprivatewealthmanagement\/justins-market-musings-interesting-times-indeed-july-23-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Justin\u2019s Market Musings | Interesting Times Indeed | July 23, 2024 - Linea Private Wealth Management\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"There\u2019s an old saying that goes something like \u201cMay you live in interesting times.\u201d If true, consider us all fortunate because the last few weeks have certainly been remarkable. 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